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Feb
08
2012

RBA left the Cash Rate UNCHANGED at 4.25%

08 February 2012



In a move that surprised the markets, the RBA left the Cash Rate UNCHANGED at 4.25%. The interest rate markets were fully expecting a 0.25% rate cut, so the AUD has spiked higher in response.

• Judged policy was appropriate for the moment • Says rates for borrowers close to medium term average • Commodity prices remain at quite high levels • AUD somewhat higher than it had previously forecast • Chinese growth moderated as intended, most indicators quite robust in H2 • European risk still skewed to downside • If demand weakens, inflation would provide room for rate cut • European economic conditions weakened since last meeting • Financial markets remain skittish but has improved since early December • Rise in AUD reflects decline in EUR • Housing prices have shown signs of stabilising • Expects growth to be close to trend, and inflation close to target • Term funding markets have reopened for Australian banks

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